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Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Author

Husain Najafi

Ali Bavani

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17075-bayesian-framework-design-quantifying-model-uncertainty-univariate-probabilistic-mixture-model.pdf

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

Author

Robert Plant

S.R.A. Dey

N.M. Roberts

S. Migliorini

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17076-assessing-spatial-precipitation-uncertainties-convective-scale-ensemble.pdf

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Author

Nigel Roberts

Seonaid Dey

Giovanni Leoncini

Robert Plant

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17078-spatial-behaviour-and-evaluation-convection-permitting-ensemble.pdf

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

Author

Tobias Selz

George Craig

Lotte Bierdel

2016, Poster, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

17079-upscale-impact-diabatic-processes-convective-near-hemispheric-scale.pdf

NWP-driven fire danger forecasting for Copernicus

Author

Francesca Di Giuseppe

Florian Pappenberger

Fredrik Wetterhall

Blazej Krzeminski

J. San-Miguel-Ayanz

A. Camia

G. Libertà

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17204-nwp-driven-fire-danger-forecasting-copernicus.pdf

Diagnosing model performance in the tropics

Author

N. Žagar

M. Blaauw

B. Jesenko

L. Magnusson

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17205-diagnosing-model-performance-tropics.pdf

Use of high-density observations in precipitation verification

Author

Thomas Haiden

S. Duffy

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17251-use-high-density-observations-precipitation-verification.pdf

New model cycle brings higher resolution

Author

Elias Hólm

Richard Forbes

Simon Lang

L. Magnusson

S. Malardel

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17252-new-model-cycle-brings-higher-resolution.pdf

Reducing systematic errors in cold-air outbreaks

Author

Richard Forbes

Alan Geer

Katrin Lonitz

Maike Ahlgrimm

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17261-reducing-systematic-errors-cold-air-outbreaks.pdf

A new grid for the IFS

Author

S. Malardel

Nils Wedi

Willem Deconinck

Michail Diamantakis

Christian Kuehnlein

G. Mozdzynski

M. Hamrud

Piotr Smolarkiewicz

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17262-new-grid-ifs.pdf

ECMWF’s new data decoding software ecCodes

Author

Enrico Fucile

Sandor Kertész

S. Lamy-Thépaut

Shahram Najm

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17264-ecmwfs-new-data-decoding-software-eccodes.pdf

Using ensemble data assimilation to diagnose flow-dependent forecast reliability

Author

Mark Rodwell

2016, Newsletter Feature Article, ECMWF Newsletter

File

17263-using-ensemble-data-assimilation-diagnose.pdf

Predictability of the precipitation forecasts based on ECMWF ensemble model for the catchment of the Danube and Tisza rivers (Poster)

Author

Amarilla Matrai

I. Ihasz

2015, Poster

File

13429-predictability-precipitation-forecasts-based-ecmwf-ensemble-model-catchment-danube-and-tisza.pdf

Using ECMWF ensemble forecasts for hydrological forecast purpose at Hungarian Meteorological Service (Poster)

Author

Imre Bonta

Katalin Homokine

I. Ihasz

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13430-using-ecmwf-ensemble-forecasts-hydrological-forecast-purpose-hungarian-meteorological-service.pdf

Concept of operation RNLAF: Scenario forecasting (Poster)

Author

Royal Airforce

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13431-concept-operation-rnlaf-scenario-forecasting-poster.pdf

A man-machine mix supplies the MeteoSwiss WEB & APP with forecast data (Poster)

Author

D. Cattani

Michel Matter

Lionel Moret

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13432-man-machine-mix-supplies-meteoswiss-web-app-forecast-data-poster.pdf

Promising project to use additional probabilistic information for medium and longer time ranges at ZAMG (Poster)

Author

Christian Csekits

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13433-promising-project-use-additional-probabilistic-information-medium-and-longer-time-ranges-zamg.pdf

Maximizing use of probabilistic forecasts for sector-specific applications (Poster)

Author

RIMES

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13434-maximizing-use-probabilistic-forecasts-sector-specific-applications-poster.pdf

26-30 August 2013. Two cases of heavy rain and intense thunderstorms in the Western Mediterranean (Posters)

Author

A. Genoves

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13435-26-30-august-2013-two-cases-heavy-rain-and-intense-thunderstorms-western-mediterranean-posters.pdf

Experience with seasonal forecasting at the Bulgarian weather service (Poster)

Author

Ilian Gospodinov

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13436-experience-seasonal-forecasting-bulgarian-weather-service-poster.pdf

Visualization of probabilistic weather forecasts for public and professional use (Poster)

Author

Karin Jonsson

Asa Granstrom

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13437-visualization-probabilistic-weather-forecasts-public-and-professional-use-poster.pdf

Some aspects of recent weather forecasting procedures at the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Poster)

Author

Ilkka Juga

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13438-some-aspects-recent-weather-forecasting-procedures-finnish-meteorological-institute-poster.pdf

Communication ZAMG's highest warning level (Poster)

Author

Susanne Lentner

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13439-communication-zamgs-highest-warning-level-poster.pdf

Recent extreme bora wind cases in Croatia - ECMWF forecast evaluation (Poster)

Author

Natasa Mahovic

B. Matjacic

2015, Poster, Using ECMWF Forecasts 2015, Using ECMWF Forecasts

File

13440-recent-extreme-bora-wind-cases-croatia-ecmwf-forecast-evaluation-poster.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Bayesian Framework Design for Quantifying Model Uncertainty: A Univariate Probabilistic Mixture Model Approach

Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble

The spatial behaviour and evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble

Upscale impact of diabatic processes from convective to near-hemispheric scale

NWP-driven fire danger forecasting for Copernicus

Diagnosing model performance in the tropics

Use of high-density observations in precipitation verification

New model cycle brings higher resolution

Reducing systematic errors in cold-air outbreaks

A new grid for the IFS

ECMWF’s new data decoding software ecCodes

Using ensemble data assimilation to diagnose flow-dependent forecast reliability

Predictability of the precipitation forecasts based on ECMWF ensemble model for the catchment of the Danube and Tisza rivers (Poster)

Using ECMWF ensemble forecasts for hydrological forecast purpose at Hungarian Meteorological Service (Poster)

Concept of operation RNLAF: Scenario forecasting (Poster)

A man-machine mix supplies the MeteoSwiss WEB & APP with forecast data (Poster)

Promising project to use additional probabilistic information for medium and longer time ranges at ZAMG (Poster)

Maximizing use of probabilistic forecasts for sector-specific applications (Poster)

26-30 August 2013. Two cases of heavy rain and intense thunderstorms in the Western Mediterranean (Posters)

Experience with seasonal forecasting at the Bulgarian weather service (Poster)

Visualization of probabilistic weather forecasts for public and professional use (Poster)

Some aspects of recent weather forecasting procedures at the Finnish Meteorological Institute (Poster)

Communication ZAMG's highest warning level (Poster)

Recent extreme bora wind cases in Croatia - ECMWF forecast evaluation (Poster)

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