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Model uncertainty representations in the IFS

Author

Martin Leutbecher

Pirkka Ollinaho

Anton Beljaars

Thomas Haiden

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79565-model-uncertainty-representations-ifs.pdf

Representing model error in the Met Office convection permitting ensemble prediction system

Author

Anne McCabe

Richard Swinbank

Warren Tennant

Sarah-Jane Lock

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79566-representing-model-error-met-office-convection-permitting-ensemble-prediction-system.pdf

Model Uncertainty Representation in COSMO-DE-EPS

Author

Susanne Theis

Michael Buchhold

Christoph Gebhardt

Regina Kohlhepp

Andreas Röpnack

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79567-model-uncertainty-representation-cosmo-de-eps.pdf

Model uncertainty estimation in global ocean models: Stochastic parametrizations of ocean mixing

Author

Stephan Juricke

Tim Palmer

Antje Weisheimer

Laure Zanna

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79568-model-uncertainty-estimation-global-ocean-models-stochastic-parametrizations-ocean-mixing.pdf

Representing model uncertainty for climate forecasts

Author

Antje Weisheimer

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79569-representing-model-uncertainty-climate-forecasts.pdf

Impact of a stochastic deep convection scheme using cellular automata in the meso-scale ensemble prediction system; Harmon-EPS

Author

Lisa Bengtsson

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79570-impact-stochastic-deep-convection-scheme-using-cellular-automata-meso-scale-ensemble.pdf

Parameter uncertainty of chaotic systems

Author

Heikki Haario

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79571-parameter-uncertainty-chaotic-systems.pdf

Inducing Tropical Cyclones to Undergo Brownian Motion

Author

Daniel Hodyss

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79572-inducing-tropical-cyclones-undergo-brownian-motion.pdf

Model error representation in Meteo France ensemble NWP system

Author

Laure Raynaud

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79763-model-error-representation-meteo-france-ensemble-nwp-system.pdf

Ensemble data assimilation using a unified representation of model error

Author

Chiara Piccolo

Mike Cullen

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79845-ensemble-data-assimilation-using-unified-representation-model-error.pdf

Mesoscale convective systems as a source of model error

Author

Glenn Shutts

2016, Conference Paper, ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty

File

79749-mesoscale-convective-systems-source-model-error.pdf

Assimilation in the upper-troposphere and lower-stratosphere: The role of GPS radio occultation

Author

Sean Healy

2015, Conference Paper, Seminar on Use of Satellite Observations in Numerical Weather Prediction, 8-12 September 2014

File

74759-assimilation-upper-troposphere-and-lower-stratosphere-role-gps-radio-occultation.pdf

Prospect for radar and lidar cloud assimilation

Author

Marta Janiskova

2015, Conference Paper, Seminar on Use of Satellite Observations in Numerical Weather Prediction, 8-12 September 2014

File

74995-prospect-radar-and-lidar-cloud-assimilation.pdf

Seminar Programme

Author

Various Authors

2015, Conference Paper, Seminar on Use of Satellite Observations in Numerical Weather Prediction, 8-12 September 2014

File

7593-seminar-programme.pdf

Active techniques for wind and wave observations: radar altimeter

Author

Saleh Abdalla

2015, Conference Paper, Seminar on Use of Satellite Observations in Numerical Weather Prediction, 8-12 September 2014

File

7618-active-techniques-wind-and-wave-observations-radar-altimeter.pdf

Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2014-2015 upgrades

Author

Thomas Haiden

F. Prates

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

14691-evaluation-ecmwf-forecasts-including-2014-2015-upgrades.pdf

An evaluation of FY-3C satellite data quality at ECMWF and the Met Office

Author

Qifeng Lu

Heather Lawrence

Niels Bormann

Stephen English

Katie Lean

Nigel Atkinson

W. Bell

F. Carminati

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

14692-evaluation-fy-3c-satellite-data-quality-ecmwf-and-met-office.pdf

Impacts of parameterized orographic drag on the Northern Hemisphere winter circulation

Author

Irina Sandu

Peter Bechtold

Anton Beljaars

Alessio Bozzo

Felix Pithan

T.G. Shepherd

Ayrton Zadra

2015, Technical memorandum, ECMWF Technical Memoranda

File

14694-impacts-parameterized-orographic-drag-northern-hemisphere-winter-circulation.pdf

Parametrized convective heating and large-scale waves (Summary)

Author

Peter Bechtold

2015, Conference Paper, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2015, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

77123-parametrized-convective-heating-and-large-scale-waves-summary.pdf

Fast radiative transfer models and representation of clouds (Summary)

Author

Robin Hogan

2015, Conference Paper, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2015, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

77125-fast-radiative-transfer-models-and-representation-clouds-summary.pdf

Representation of sub-grid orography in models (Summary)

Author

S. Derbyshire

2015, Conference Paper, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2015, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

77126-representation-sub-grid-orography-models-summary.pdf

Ground-based and airbourne observations of stratospheric and mesospheric gravity waves (Summary)

Author

A. Dörnbrack

2015, Conference Paper, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2015, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

77127-ground-based-and-airbourne-observations-stratospheric-and-mesospheric-gravity-waves-summary.pdf

Evaluating and improving simulation of clouds (Summary)

Author

A. Gettelman

2015, Conference Paper, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2015, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

77128-evaluating-and-improving-simulation-clouds-summary.pdf

The representation of cloud microphysics in numerical weather prediction models (Summary)

Author

J. Milbrandt

2015, Conference Paper, ECMWF Annual Seminar 2015, ECMWF Annual Seminar

File

77129-representation-cloud-microphysics-numerical-weather-prediction-models-summary.pdf

Search ECMWF publications

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Model uncertainty representations in the IFS

Representing model error in the Met Office convection permitting ensemble prediction system

Model Uncertainty Representation in COSMO-DE-EPS

Model uncertainty estimation in global ocean models: Stochastic parametrizations of ocean mixing

Representing model uncertainty for climate forecasts

Impact of a stochastic deep convection scheme using cellular automata in the meso-scale ensemble prediction system; Harmon-EPS

Parameter uncertainty of chaotic systems

Inducing Tropical Cyclones to Undergo Brownian Motion

Model error representation in Meteo France ensemble NWP system

Ensemble data assimilation using a unified representation of model error

Mesoscale convective systems as a source of model error

Assimilation in the upper-troposphere and lower-stratosphere: The role of GPS radio occultation

Prospect for radar and lidar cloud assimilation

Seminar Programme

Active techniques for wind and wave observations: radar altimeter

Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts, including 2014-2015 upgrades

An evaluation of FY-3C satellite data quality at ECMWF and the Met Office

Impacts of parameterized orographic drag on the Northern Hemisphere winter circulation

Parametrized convective heating and large-scale waves (Summary)

Fast radiative transfer models and representation of clouds (Summary)

Representation of sub-grid orography in models (Summary)

Ground-based and airbourne observations of stratospheric and mesospheric gravity waves (Summary)

Evaluating and improving simulation of clouds (Summary)

The representation of cloud microphysics in numerical weather prediction models (Summary)

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